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A note on equiprobability prior to 1500

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Thakkar_2022_ESM_Note_on_Equiprobability_CC.pdf (1.665Mb)
Date
30/06/2022
Author
Thakkar, Mark Nicholas Andrew
Keywords
History of probability
Probable opinion
Scholasticism
Medieval
Latin
QA Mathematics
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Abstract
Rudolf Schuessler has argued that sixteenth-century thinkers developed a concept of equal probability that was virtually absent before 1500 and that may have contributed to the birth of mathematical probability shortly after 1650. This note uses additional textual evidence to argue that the concept of equal probability was in fact generally available to medieval thinkers. It is true that ascriptions of equal probability are comparatively rare in medieval texts, but this can be explained without positing a conceptual blind spot.
Citation
Thakkar , M N A 2022 , ' A note on equiprobability prior to 1500 ' , Early Science and Medicine , vol. 27 , no. 2 , pp. 225-231 . https://doi.org/10.1163/15733823-20220042
Publication
Early Science and Medicine
Status
Peer reviewed
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1163/15733823-20220042
ISSN
1383-7427
Type
Journal article
Rights
Copyright © Mark Thakkar, 2022. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC BY 4.0 license
Collections
  • University of St Andrews Research
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10023/25721

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