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dc.contributor.authorHinnebusch, Raymond
dc.identifier.citationHinnebusch , R 2015 , ' Introduction: understanding the consequences of the Arab uprisings – starting points and divergent trajectories ' , Democratization , vol. 22 , no. 1 .
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 162703461
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 6aa54656-008a-4ccc-87bd-20f429958578
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 84929026506
dc.identifier.otherORCID: /0000-0001-5800-6606/work/60630198
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 000353453000001
dc.description.abstractThis introduction sets the context for the following articles by first conceptualizing the divergent post-uprising trajectories taken by varying states: these are distinguished first by whether state capacity collapses or persists, and if it persists, whether the outcome is a hybrid regime or polyarchy. It then assesses how far starting points – the features of the regime and of the uprising – explain these pathways. Specifically, the varying levels of anti-regime mobilization, explained by factors such as levels of grievances, patterns of cleavages, and opportunity structure, determine whether rulers are quickly removed or stalemate sets in. Additionally, the ability of regime and opposition softliners to reach a transition pact greatly shapes democratic prospects. But, also important is the capacity – coercive and co-optative – of the authoritarian rulers to resist, itself a function of factors such as the balance between the patrimonial and bureaucratic features of neo-patrimonial regimes.
dc.rightsCopyright 2015 Taylor & Francis. This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Democratization on 24/03/2015, available online:
dc.subjectArab Uprisingen
dc.subjectState capacityen
dc.subjectTransition pacten
dc.subjectJZ International relationsen
dc.subjectSocial Sciences(all)en
dc.titleIntroduction: understanding the consequences of the Arab uprisings – starting points and divergent trajectoriesen
dc.typeJournal articleen
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of St Andrews.School of International Relationsen
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden

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