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dc.contributor.authorThackeray, Stephen J.
dc.contributor.authorHenrys, Peter A.
dc.contributor.authorHemming, Deborah
dc.contributor.authorBell, James R.
dc.contributor.authorBotham, Marc S.
dc.contributor.authorBurthe, Sarah
dc.contributor.authorHelaouet, Pierre
dc.contributor.authorJohns, David G.
dc.contributor.authorJones, Ian D
dc.contributor.authorLeech, David. I.
dc.contributor.authorMackay, Eleanor B.
dc.contributor.authorMassimino, Dario
dc.contributor.authorAtkinson, Sian
dc.contributor.authorBacon, Philip J.
dc.contributor.authorBrereton, Tom M.
dc.contributor.authorCarvalho, Laurence
dc.contributor.authorClutton-Brock, Tim H.
dc.contributor.authorDuck, Callan
dc.contributor.authorEdwards, Martin
dc.contributor.authorElliott, J. Malcolm
dc.contributor.authorHall, Stephen J. G.
dc.contributor.authorHarrington, Richard
dc.contributor.authorPearce-Higgins, James W.
dc.contributor.authorHøye, Toke T.
dc.contributor.authorKruuk, Loeske E. B.
dc.contributor.authorPemberton, Josephine M.
dc.contributor.authorSparks, Tim H.
dc.contributor.authorThompson, Paul M.
dc.contributor.authorWhite, Ian
dc.contributor.authorWinfield, Ian J.
dc.contributor.authorWanless, Sarah
dc.date.accessioned2016-12-30T00:32:27Z
dc.date.available2016-12-30T00:32:27Z
dc.date.issued2016-07-14
dc.identifier.citationThackeray , S J , Henrys , P A , Hemming , D , Bell , J R , Botham , M S , Burthe , S , Helaouet , P , Johns , D G , Jones , I D , Leech , D I , Mackay , E B , Massimino , D , Atkinson , S , Bacon , P J , Brereton , T M , Carvalho , L , Clutton-Brock , T H , Duck , C , Edwards , M , Elliott , J M , Hall , S J G , Harrington , R , Pearce-Higgins , J W , Høye , T T , Kruuk , L E B , Pemberton , J M , Sparks , T H , Thompson , P M , White , I , Winfield , I J & Wanless , S 2016 , ' Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels ' Nature , vol. 535 , no. 7611 , pp. 241-245 . https://doi.org/10.1038/nature18608en
dc.identifier.issn0028-0836
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 244544693
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: ab4b2211-dfde-46c8-b87f-4f41a182378a
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 84978719359
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10023/10022
dc.descriptionThis work was funded by Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) grant NE/J02080X/1. The Rothamsted Insect Survey (RIS) is a National Capability strategically funded by BBSRC.en
dc.description.abstractDifferences in phenological responses to climate change among species can desynchronise ecological interactions and thereby threaten ecosystem function. To assess these threats, we must quantify the relative impact of climate change on species at different trophic levels. Here, we apply a Climate Sensitivity Profile approach to 10,003 terrestrial and aquatic phenological data sets, spatially matched to temperature and precipitation data, to quantify variation in climate sensitivity. The direction, magnitude and timing of climate sensitivity varied markedly among organisms within taxonomic and trophic groups. Despite this variability, we detected systematic variation in the direction and magnitude of phenological climate sensitivity. Secondary consumers showed consistently lower climate sensitivity than other groups. We used mid-century climate change projections to estimate that the timing of phenological events could change more for primary consumers than for species in other trophic levels (6.2 versus 2.5–2.9 days earlier on average), with substantial taxonomic variation (1.1–14.8 days earlier on average).
dc.format.extent5
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartofNatureen
dc.rights© 2016, Macmillan Publishers Ltd, part of Springer Nature. This work is made available online in accordance with the publisher’s policies. This is the author created, accepted version manuscript following peer review and may differ slightly from the final published version. The final published version of this work is available at www.nature.com / https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature18608en
dc.subjectPhenologyen
dc.subjectFood websen
dc.subjectQH301 Biologyen
dc.subjectNDASen
dc.subject.lccQH301en
dc.titlePhenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levelsen
dc.typeJournal articleen
dc.description.versionPostprinten
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of St Andrews.School of Biologyen
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of St Andrews.Sea Mammal Research Uniten
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of St Andrews.Marine Alliance for Science & Technology Scotlanden
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of St Andrews.Scottish Oceans Instituteen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/nature18608
dc.description.statusPeer revieweden
dc.date.embargoedUntil2016-12-29


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