Conclusion : agency, context and emergent post-uprising regimes
Date
2015Author
Keywords
Metadata
Show full item recordAltmetrics Handle Statistics
Altmetrics DOI Statistics
Abstract
This conclusion summarizes the evidence explaining the divergent trajectories taken by post Arab uprising states in terms of multiple variables, each illustrated by an iconic case, namely: State Failure and Competitive governance (Syria), Regime Restoration and Hybrid Governance (Egypt) and Polyarchic Governance (Tunisia). Factors include the starting point: levels of opposition mobilization and regimes' resilience – a function of their patrimonial-bureaucratic balance; whether or not a transition coalition forms is crucial for democratization prospects. Context also matters for democratization, particularly political economic factors, such as a balance of class power and a productive economy; political culture (level of societal identity cleavages) and a minimum of international intervention. Finally, the balance of agency between democracy movements, Islamists, the military and workers shapes democratization prospects.
Citation
Hinnebusch , R 2015 , ' Conclusion : agency, context and emergent post-uprising regimes ' , Democratization , vol. 22 , no. 2 , pp. 358-374 . https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2015.1010815
Publication
Democratization
Status
Peer reviewed
ISSN
1351-0347Type
Journal article
Rights
© 2015 Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Democratization on 24/03/2015, available online: http://wwww.tandfonline.com/10.1080/13510347.2015.1010815
Collections
Items in the St Andrews Research Repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.