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Recent exposure to environmental stochasticity does not determine the demographic resilience of natural populations
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dc.contributor.author | Cant, James | |
dc.contributor.author | Capdevila, Pol | |
dc.contributor.author | Beger, Maria | |
dc.contributor.author | Salguero-Gómez, Roberto | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-05-16T09:30:07Z | |
dc.date.available | 2023-05-16T09:30:07Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2023-07-01 | |
dc.identifier | 286076664 | |
dc.identifier | 381fc900-d6a1-4d1a-b2be-359d275a9df7 | |
dc.identifier | 37158011 | |
dc.identifier | 85158149612 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Cant , J , Capdevila , P , Beger , M & Salguero-Gómez , R 2023 , ' Recent exposure to environmental stochasticity does not determine the demographic resilience of natural populations ' , Ecology Letters , vol. 26 , no. 7 , pp. 1186-1199 . https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14234 | en |
dc.identifier.issn | 1461-023X | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10023/27626 | |
dc.description | Funding: Funding for this research was provided by a DTP Natural Environment Research Council Scholarship to JC, a NERC IRF (NE/M018458/1) to RS-G, a Ramon Areces Foundation Postdoctoral Fellowship to PC, and Winifred Violet Scott Estate funding to MB. | en |
dc.description.abstract | Escalating climatic and anthropogenic pressures expose ecosystems worldwide to increasingly stochastic environments. Yet, our ability to forecast the responses of natural populations to this increased environmental stochasticity is impeded by a limited understanding of how exposure to stochastic environments shapes demographic resilience. Here, we test the association between local environmental stochasticity and the resilience attributes (e.g. resistance, recovery) of 2242 natural populations across 369 animal and plant species. Contrary to the assumption that past exposure to frequent environmental shifts confers a greater ability to cope with current and future global change, we illustrate how recent environmental stochasticity regimes from the past 50 years do not predict the inherent resistance or recovery potential of natural populations. Instead, demographic resilience is strongly predicted by the phylogenetic relatedness among species, with survival and developmental investments shaping their responses to environmental stochasticity. Accordingly, our findings suggest that demographic resilience is a consequence of evolutionary processes and/or deep-time environmental regimes, rather than recent-past experiences. | |
dc.format.extent | 14 | |
dc.format.extent | 3700746 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.relation.ispartof | Ecology Letters | en |
dc.subject | Demographic compensation | en |
dc.subject | Matrix population models | en |
dc.subject | Partial least squares regression | en |
dc.subject | Phylogenetic signal | en |
dc.subject | Recovery | en |
dc.subject | Resistance | en |
dc.subject | Transient demography | en |
dc.subject | DAS | en |
dc.subject | MCC | en |
dc.title | Recent exposure to environmental stochasticity does not determine the demographic resilience of natural populations | en |
dc.type | Journal article | en |
dc.contributor.institution | University of St Andrews. School of Biology | en |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14234 | |
dc.description.status | Peer reviewed | en |
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