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The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions
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dc.contributor.author | Büntgen, Ulf | |
dc.contributor.author | Allen, Kathy | |
dc.contributor.author | Anchukaitis, Kevin J. | |
dc.contributor.author | Arseneault, Dominique | |
dc.contributor.author | Boucher, Étienne | |
dc.contributor.author | Bräuning, Achim | |
dc.contributor.author | Chatterjee, Snigdhansu | |
dc.contributor.author | Cherubini, Paolo | |
dc.contributor.author | Churakova (Sidorova), Olga V. | |
dc.contributor.author | Corona, Christophe | |
dc.contributor.author | Gennaretti, Fabio | |
dc.contributor.author | Grießinger, Jussi | |
dc.contributor.author | Guillet, Sebastian | |
dc.contributor.author | Guiot, Joel | |
dc.contributor.author | Gunnarson, Björn | |
dc.contributor.author | Helama, Samuli | |
dc.contributor.author | Hochreuther, Philipp | |
dc.contributor.author | Hughes, Malcolm K. | |
dc.contributor.author | Huybers, Peter | |
dc.contributor.author | Kirdyanov, Alexander V. | |
dc.contributor.author | Krusic, Paul J. | |
dc.contributor.author | Ludescher, Josef | |
dc.contributor.author | Meier, Wolfgang J.-H. | |
dc.contributor.author | Myglan, Vladimir S. | |
dc.contributor.author | Nicolussi, Kurt | |
dc.contributor.author | Oppenheimer, Clive | |
dc.contributor.author | Reinig, Frederick | |
dc.contributor.author | Salzer, Matthew W. | |
dc.contributor.author | Seftigen, Kristina | |
dc.contributor.author | Stine, Alexander R. | |
dc.contributor.author | Stoffel, Markus | |
dc.contributor.author | St. George, Scott | |
dc.contributor.author | Tejedor, Ernesto | |
dc.contributor.author | Trevino, Aleyda | |
dc.contributor.author | Trouet, Valerie | |
dc.contributor.author | Wang, Jianglin | |
dc.contributor.author | Wilson, Rob | |
dc.contributor.author | Yang, Bao | |
dc.contributor.author | Xu, Guobao | |
dc.contributor.author | Esper, Jan | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-21T09:30:05Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-06-21T09:30:05Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2021-06-07 | |
dc.identifier | 274557823 | |
dc.identifier | 95309855-7474-47a7-999c-2a8e42e6d308 | |
dc.identifier | 000687325100004 | |
dc.identifier | 85107533760 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Büntgen , U , Allen , K , Anchukaitis , K J , Arseneault , D , Boucher , É , Bräuning , A , Chatterjee , S , Cherubini , P , Churakova (Sidorova) , O V , Corona , C , Gennaretti , F , Grießinger , J , Guillet , S , Guiot , J , Gunnarson , B , Helama , S , Hochreuther , P , Hughes , M K , Huybers , P , Kirdyanov , A V , Krusic , P J , Ludescher , J , Meier , W J-H , Myglan , V S , Nicolussi , K , Oppenheimer , C , Reinig , F , Salzer , M W , Seftigen , K , Stine , A R , Stoffel , M , St. George , S , Tejedor , E , Trevino , A , Trouet , V , Wang , J , Wilson , R , Yang , B , Xu , G & Esper , J 2021 , ' The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions ' , Nature Communications , vol. 12 , 3411 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23627-6 | en |
dc.identifier.issn | 2041-1723 | |
dc.identifier.other | Jisc: 4da33b257f2949138cf99b558be1d2b1 | |
dc.identifier.other | publisher-id: s41467-021-23627-6 | |
dc.identifier.other | manuscript: 23627 | |
dc.identifier.other | ORCID: /0000-0003-4486-8904/work/95418253 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10023/23399 | |
dc.description | U.B. and J.E. received funding from SustES: Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797), and the ERC project MONOSTAR (AdG 882727). C.C., S.G. and M.S. received funding from the SNF Sinergia project CALDERA (project no. 183571). S.C. acknowledges support from US National Science Foundation grants 1737918, 1939916 and 1939956. | en |
dc.description.abstract | Tree-ring chronologies underpin the majority of annually-resolved reconstructions of Common Era climate. However, they are derived using different datasets and techniques, the ramifications of which have hitherto been little explored. Here, we report the results of a double-blind experiment that yielded 15 Northern Hemisphere summer temperature reconstructions from a common network of regional tree-ring width datasets. Taken together as an ensemble, the Common Era reconstruction mean correlates with instrumental temperatures from 1794–2016 CE at 0.79 (p <0.001), reveals summer cooling in the years following large volcanic eruptions, and exhibits strong warming since the 1980s. Differing in their mean, variance, amplitude, sensitivity, and persistence, the ensemble members demonstrate the influence of subjectivity in the reconstruction process. We therefore recommend the routine use of ensemble reconstruction approaches to provide a more consensual picture of past climate variability. | |
dc.format.extent | 10 | |
dc.format.extent | 1915694 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.relation.ispartof | Nature Communications | en |
dc.subject | GE Environmental Sciences | en |
dc.subject | DAS | en |
dc.subject | SDG 13 - Climate Action | en |
dc.subject.lcc | GE | en |
dc.title | The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions | en |
dc.type | Journal article | en |
dc.contributor.institution | University of St Andrews. School of Earth & Environmental Sciences | en |
dc.contributor.institution | University of St Andrews. Scottish Oceans Institute | en |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23627-6 | |
dc.description.status | Peer reviewed | en |
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